Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Stephenson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.5% vs Stephenson 52.0% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 55.6%
Defensive zone
Horvat 53.9%
Neutral zone
Horvat 52.6%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Horvat
Stephenson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Horvat
Stephenson
Last 6: Horvat 3-3 Stephenson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Stephenson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Stephenson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Stephenson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Stephenson
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (994)
57.6% (59)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
53.4% (118)
42.9% (14)
+10.5%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephenson shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (861).
Horvat shoots left. Stephenson is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (51).
Home / Away
Horvat
Stephenson
Home
53.0% (673)
53.6% (28)
Away
54.5% (651)
55.6% (45)
By Period
Horvat
Stephenson
P1
51.9%
60.0%
P2
54.8%
60.0%
P3
54.3%
46.4%
Final 5 min
50.9%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.8%
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 2 | 07:45 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 2 | 07:28 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 1 | 17:08 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 1 | 12:14 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 1 | 11:55 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |