Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Stephenson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Stephenson 52.0% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 75.3%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 62.4%
Neutral zone
Horvat 63.4%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Horvat
Stephenson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Horvat
Stephenson
Last 6: Horvat 5-1 Stephenson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Stephenson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Stephenson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Stephenson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Stephenson
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (682)
52.1% (801)
+3.2%
Power Play
62.2% (230)
62.0% (242)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (101)
39.9% (183)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephenson shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Horvat shoots left. Stephenson is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (751).
Home / Away
Horvat
Stephenson
Home
58.2% (469)
53.1% (672)
Away
54.0% (544)
51.1% (554)
By Period
Horvat
Stephenson
P1
59.6%
54.6%
P2
53.1%
51.3%
P3
55.5%
51.2%
OT
55.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.6%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | OT | 04:41 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 23, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 17:23 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 09:40 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:59 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 18:20 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |