Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Stephenson 52.3% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 51.3%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 54.6%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 50.4%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Horvat
Stephenson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Horvat
Stephenson
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Stephenson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
1
Horvat
Stephenson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
6
Horvat
Stephenson
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
1
Horvat
Stephenson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Stephenson
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
51.6% (829)
+1.9%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
62.7% (142)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
44.3% (79)
+7.0%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephenson shoots left. Horvat is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Horvat shoots left. Stephenson is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Home / Away
Horvat
Stephenson
Home
54.2% (714)
52.5% (499)
Away
53.6% (705)
52.6% (551)
By Period
Horvat
Stephenson
P1
53.5%
50.2%
P2
56.3%
55.7%
P3
53.5%
50.9%
OT
28.6%
63.6%
Final 5 min
52.3%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 17:37 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 12:00 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 09:45 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 03:49 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 16:17 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 12:43 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 10:20 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 09:30 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 12:33 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 00:58 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 18:16 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |