Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 14 meetings). Horvat wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Stephenson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Stephenson 51.9% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 16-14 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 57.2%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 57.3%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 56.9%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Horvat
Stephenson
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
16
(30 meetings)
14
16
Horvat
Stephenson
Last 10: Horvat 2-8 Stephenson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
11
Horvat
Stephenson
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
8
3
Horvat
Stephenson
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
2
Horvat
Stephenson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Stephenson
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
51.0% (993)
+4.6%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
60.5% (152)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
50.0% (110)
-0.8%
On power play, Horvat has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephenson shoots left. Horvat is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Horvat shoots left. Stephenson is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (851).
Home / Away
Horvat
Stephenson
Home
58.8% (724)
53.3% (634)
Away
55.3% (751)
50.7% (621)
By Period
Horvat
Stephenson
P1
57.0%
50.7%
P2
57.5%
51.2%
P3
57.0%
53.2%
OT
36.4%
70.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 15:09 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 14:56 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 12:04 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:16 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 13:48 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 01:15 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 01:04 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 3 | 09:13 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 3 | 05:57 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 2 | 16:27 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 2 | 11:40 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 1 | 18:13 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 1 | 04:53 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 1 | 01:09 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 14:33 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 10:13 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 08:35 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 07:03 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 05:20 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |