Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Stephenson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Stephenson 51.5% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 87.5%
Defensive zone
Horvat 58.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 74.3%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Horvat
Stephenson
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Horvat
Stephenson
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 Stephenson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Stephenson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Horvat
Stephenson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Stephenson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Stephenson
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
51.2% (1,041)
+7.4%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
57.8% (211)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
47.7% (222)
-2.0%
On even strength, Horvat has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephenson shoots left. Horvat is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Horvat shoots left. Stephenson is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Horvat
Stephenson
Home
59.2% (684)
52.2% (751)
Away
57.0% (635)
51.0% (723)
By Period
Horvat
Stephenson
P1
57.9%
50.4%
P2
55.4%
51.5%
P3
61.5%
53.3%
OT
53.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 13:30 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 08:02 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 07:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 03:55 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 00:15 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 06:13 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 02:48 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 10:42 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 15:40 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 13:10 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |