Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs McDavid 53.4% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 66.2%
Defensive zone
McDavid 65.7%
Neutral zone
McDavid 65.5%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 66.1%
33.9%
66.1%
Horvat
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Horvat
McDavid
Last 6: Horvat 1-5 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
5
Horvat
McDavid
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
McDavid
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
54.3% (1,002)
+1.3%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
44.8% (29)
+20.6%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
33.3% (15)
+15.9%
On power play, Horvat has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Horvat is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Horvat shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Home / Away
Horvat
McDavid
Home
58.8% (724)
53.6% (507)
Away
55.3% (751)
53.8% (539)
By Period
Horvat
McDavid
P1
57.0%
52.6%
P2
57.5%
54.1%
P3
57.0%
54.9%
OT
36.4%
44.4%
Final 5 min
56.9%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 12:30 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 12:20 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 17:02 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 12:28 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 2 | 09:44 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 09:34 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |