Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs McDavid 47.9% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 86.9%
Defensive zone
Horvat 86.5%
Neutral zone
Horvat 85.6%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 86.8%
86.8%
13.2%
Horvat
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Horvat
McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
McDavid
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
McDavid
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
47.7% (715)
+10.9%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
51.9% (52)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
22.2% (9)
+23.5%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Horvat is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Horvat shoots left. McDavid is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
Home / Away
Horvat
McDavid
Home
59.2% (684)
47.3% (387)
Away
57.0% (635)
48.1% (389)
By Period
Horvat
McDavid
P1
57.9%
47.6%
P2
55.4%
50.0%
P3
61.5%
45.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 00:28 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 03:51 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |