Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs McDavid 51.8% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 82.4%
Defensive zone
Horvat 66.7%
Neutral zone
Horvat 74.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 76.1%
76.1%
23.9%
Horvat
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Horvat
McDavid
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
3
Horvat
McDavid
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
2
Horvat
McDavid
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
McDavid
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
51.5% (889)
+3.2%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
63.9% (36)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
51.2% (86)
+0.9%
On even strength, Horvat has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Horvat shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Horvat
McDavid
Home
59.8% (853)
50.7% (513)
Away
53.8% (832)
53.2% (498)
By Period
Horvat
McDavid
P1
55.0%
52.3%
P2
58.3%
51.6%
P3
57.8%
51.7%
OT
44.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 09:22 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 05:47 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 03:26 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 03:21 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 16:46 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 01:06 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 01:00 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 02:56 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 19:22 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 16:37 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 12:26 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 05:32 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 05:50 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 02:40 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 03:19 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |