Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Horvat wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.5% vs Ryan 57.2% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 60.5%
Defensive zone
Ryan 67.5%
Neutral zone
Ryan 81.4%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 67.1%
32.9%
67.1%
Horvat
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
6
(18 meetings)
12
6
Horvat
Ryan
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
2
Horvat
Ryan
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
3
Horvat
Ryan
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Ryan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (1,606)
59.1% (594)
-5.1%
Power Play
52.9% (308)
49.1% (55)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (104)
57.9% (107)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (723).
Horvat shoots left. Ryan is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Home / Away
Horvat
Ryan
Home
57.2% (987)
57.0% (398)
Away
50.2% (1,031)
59.5% (358)
By Period
Horvat
Ryan
P1
53.9%
56.2%
P2
53.7%
56.9%
P3
53.6%
61.1%
Final 5 min
54.8%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
42.0%▼
53.5%
53.7%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 19:24 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 13:13 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 06:31 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 1 | 09:33 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 17:47 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 08:47 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 07:09 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 03:38 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 14:28 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 03:41 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 2 | 11:35 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 2 | 06:17 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 13:40 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 07:33 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 06:11 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 01:04 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 3, 2018 | 2 | 18:53 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |