Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 62.2% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Ryan 50.0% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 93.4%
Defensive zone
Horvat 62.5%
Neutral zone
Horvat 77.9%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 87.6%
87.6%
12.4%
Horvat
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Horvat
Ryan
Last 8: Horvat 7-1 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
1
Horvat
Ryan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Ryan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
50.9% (344)
+3.8%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
75.0% (4)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
45.3% (86)
+6.8%
On power play, Ryan has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Horvat is 62.2% vs right-shot opponents (574).
Horvat shoots left. Ryan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
Horvat
Ryan
Home
59.8% (853)
53.7% (214)
Away
53.8% (832)
46.4% (220)
By Period
Horvat
Ryan
P1
55.0%
45.0%
P2
58.3%
50.0%
P3
57.8%
54.6%
Final 5 min
59.4%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 18:51 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 12:00 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 09:29 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 09:26 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 15:34 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 10:21 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 10:42 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 09:19 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |