Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 61.6% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Ryan 57.4% (-2.2%)
Offensive zone
Horvat 73.7%
Defensive zone
Ryan 66.3%
Neutral zone
Ryan 51.8%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Horvat
Ryan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
61.4% (220)
-2.8%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
100.0% (1)
-39.4%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
51.7% (29)
-6.0%
On power play, Ryan has a +39.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Horvat is 61.6% vs right-shot opponents (482).
Horvat shoots left. Ryan is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Home / Away
Horvat
Ryan
Home
59.2% (684)
64.2% (137)
Away
57.0% (635)
55.8% (113)
By Period
Horvat
Ryan
P1
57.9%
58.9%
P2
55.4%
62.8%
P3
61.5%
59.3%
Final 5 min
60.9%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%