Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 61.3% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Ryan 54.9% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 81.2%
Defensive zone
Ryan 58.8%
Neutral zone
Horvat 51.5%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Horvat
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Horvat
Ryan
Last 7: Horvat 6-1 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Ryan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Ryan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Ryan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
60.2% (387)
-4.6%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
28.6% (7)
+36.8%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
43.2% (118)
+6.0%
On power play, Horvat has a +36.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Horvat is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (563).
Horvat shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Horvat
Ryan
Home
58.8% (724)
56.7% (254)
Away
55.3% (751)
55.0% (258)
By Period
Horvat
Ryan
P1
57.0%
56.9%
P2
57.5%
51.7%
P3
57.0%
59.2%
OT
36.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 02:11 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 19:32 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 19:20 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 2 | 19:17 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 2 | 13:15 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 2 | 03:24 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |