Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 61.1% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.9% vs Ryan 52.0% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 82.3%
Defensive zone
Horvat 53.2%
Neutral zone
Horvat 56.2%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Horvat
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Horvat
Ryan
Last 7: Horvat 5-2 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Ryan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Ryan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Ryan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,134)
54.1% (603)
+2.2%
Power Play
64.3% (263)
40.9% (44)
+23.4%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (85)
45.9% (85)
+3.5%
On power play, Horvat has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Horvat is 61.1% vs right-shot opponents (537).
Horvat shoots left. Ryan is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (511).
Home / Away
Horvat
Ryan
Home
57.3% (742)
52.5% (341)
Away
57.4% (741)
52.2% (391)
By Period
Horvat
Ryan
P1
59.0%
56.0%
P2
59.7%
48.1%
P3
53.6%
52.8%
OT
55.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
59.3%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.3%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2020 | 3 | 08:28 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 3 | 17:58 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 06:11 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 1 | 02:12 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 12:24 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 01:15 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 01:10 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |