Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.9% vs 52.0%). Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 55.3% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 52.7% vs Ryan 51.5% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 14-3 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 57.4%
Defensive zone
Horvat 58.5%
Neutral zone
Horvat 63.0%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Horvat
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
3
(17 meetings)
14
3
Horvat
Ryan
Last 10: Horvat 9-1 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
0
Horvat
Ryan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
2
Horvat
Ryan
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
1
Horvat
Ryan
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (955)
54.3% (245)
-3.6%
Power Play
65.3% (213)
37.5% (8)
+27.8%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (57)
41.5% (41)
+2.4%
On power play, Horvat has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Horvat is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (407).
Horvat shoots left. Ryan is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (214).
Home / Away
Horvat
Ryan
Home
54.1% (599)
50.9% (167)
Away
51.8% (626)
53.5% (127)
By Period
Horvat
Ryan
P1
50.8%
44.0%
P2
50.0%
61.7%
P3
57.7%
50.5%
Final 5 min
54.7%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
52.9%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2021 | 3 | 08:33 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| May 19, 2021 | 2 | 08:34 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| May 19, 2021 | 1 | 14:38 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| May 19, 2021 | 1 | 12:16 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| May 16, 2021 | 3 | 17:58 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| May 16, 2021 | 3 | 06:29 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| May 13, 2021 | 3 | 07:25 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| May 13, 2021 | 2 | 15:00 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| May 13, 2021 | 2 | 04:16 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| May 13, 2021 | 2 | 04:06 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 16:56 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 13:30 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 02:39 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 07:24 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 1 | 16:09 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 1 | 05:45 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |