Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 61.3% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Kastelic 54.5% (-1.3%)
Offensive zone
Horvat 74.6%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 61.5%
Neutral zone
Horvat 51.0%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Horvat
Kastelic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
56.5% (115)
-0.9%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
100.0% (3)
-34.6%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
100.0% (2)
-50.8%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +50.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Horvat is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (563).
Horvat shoots left. Kastelic is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Horvat
Kastelic
Home
58.8% (724)
54.8% (73)
Away
55.3% (751)
63.8% (47)
By Period
Horvat
Kastelic
P1
57.0%
50.0%
P2
57.5%
62.5%
P3
57.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
58.3%