Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 61.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Kastelic 53.4% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 89.8%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 64.6%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 50.6%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 78.9%
78.9%
21.1%
Horvat
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Horvat
Kastelic
Last 5: Horvat 4-1 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
0
Horvat
Kastelic
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Horvat
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
55.4% (345)
+3.2%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
50.0% (4)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
35.3% (17)
+10.4%
On power play, Horvat has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Horvat is 61.6% vs right-shot opponents (482).
Horvat shoots left. Kastelic is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Horvat
Kastelic
Home
59.2% (684)
50.6% (162)
Away
57.0% (635)
57.4% (204)
By Period
Horvat
Kastelic
P1
57.9%
61.5%
P2
55.4%
52.8%
P3
61.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 16:21 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 17:10 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 15:43 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 15:11 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |