Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.9% vs 56.9%). Look for Kastelic on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 62.2% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Kastelic 55.9% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 81.3%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 76.5%
Neutral zone
Horvat 50.1%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Horvat
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Horvat
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Kastelic
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
3
Horvat
Kastelic
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
58.0% (476)
-3.3%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
75.0% (8)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
50.9% (106)
+1.2%
On power play, Kastelic has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Horvat is 62.2% vs right-shot opponents (574).
Horvat shoots left. Kastelic is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Horvat
Kastelic
Home
59.8% (853)
64.9% (265)
Away
53.8% (832)
50.5% (325)
By Period
Horvat
Kastelic
P1
55.0%
58.5%
P2
58.3%
55.6%
P3
57.8%
56.8%
Final 5 min
59.4%
62.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 06:13 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 16:17 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 08:35 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |