Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 54.4%). Horvat wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Kastelic 53.5% (-0.5%)
Offensive zone
Horvat 66.6%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 63.9%
Neutral zone
Horvat 53.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Horvat
Kastelic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
53.4% (337)
+0.1%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
100.0% (4)
-43.7%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
75.0% (8)
-23.7%
On power play, Kastelic has a +43.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Horvat shoots left. Kastelic is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Horvat
Kastelic
Home
54.2% (714)
56.2% (162)
Away
53.6% (705)
52.9% (187)
By Period
Horvat
Kastelic
P1
53.5%
58.2%
P2
56.3%
58.8%
P3
53.5%
45.4%
Final 5 min
52.3%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%