Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 11 meetings). Horvat wins 61.3% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Dowd 53.3% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 22-7 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 95.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 57.7%
Neutral zone
Horvat 60.4%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 66.1%
66.1%
33.9%
Horvat
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
7
(29 meetings)
22
7
Horvat
Dowd
Last 10: Horvat 9-1 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
11
0
Horvat
Dowd
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
7
5
Horvat
Dowd
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
2
Horvat
Dowd
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
55.4% (771)
+0.2%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
57.1% (7)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
45.5% (165)
+3.7%
On power play, Horvat has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Horvat is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (563).
Horvat shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Horvat
Dowd
Home
58.8% (724)
58.2% (462)
Away
55.3% (751)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Horvat
Dowd
P1
57.0%
55.6%
P2
57.5%
50.5%
P3
57.0%
53.9%
OT
36.4%
75.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2022 | 3 | 17:19 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 3 | 17:11 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 3 | 09:35 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 3 | 09:32 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 3 | 09:30 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 3 | 02:46 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 3 | 00:57 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 2 | 18:09 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 2 | 13:28 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 2 | 11:02 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 2 | 07:21 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 1 | 19:46 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 1 | 03:22 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 16, 2022 | 3 | 15:14 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 16, 2022 | 3 | 15:04 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 16, 2022 | 3 | 06:53 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 16, 2022 | 3 | 05:21 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 16, 2022 | 3 | 02:42 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 16, 2022 | 3 | 00:17 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 16, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |