Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 15 meetings). Horvat wins 62.2% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Dowd 50.7% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 20-3 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 98.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 59.2%
Neutral zone
Horvat 70.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 82.1%
82.1%
17.9%
Horvat
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
3
(23 meetings)
20
3
Horvat
Dowd
Last 10: Horvat 9-1 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
15
0
Horvat
Dowd
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
3
Horvat
Dowd
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
55.2% (625)
-0.5%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
57.1% (7)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
38.2% (220)
+13.9%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Horvat is 62.2% vs right-shot opponents (574).
Horvat shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Horvat
Dowd
Home
59.8% (853)
53.7% (445)
Away
53.8% (832)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Horvat
Dowd
P1
55.0%
48.8%
P2
58.3%
49.3%
P3
57.8%
54.0%
OT
44.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
59.4%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2023 | OT | 04:31 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 2 | 05:32 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 1 | 18:40 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 1 | 15:46 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 19:08 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 11:52 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 04:15 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 17:17 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 11:09 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 08:05 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 07:49 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 03:35 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 02:08 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 07:38 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 03:55 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 06:48 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 12:14 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 03:38 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:17 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 16:44 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |