Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Horvat wins 61.6% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Dowd 49.9% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 96.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 74.6%
Neutral zone
Horvat 66.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 75.4%
75.4%
24.6%
Horvat
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Horvat
Dowd
Last 7: Horvat 4-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
7
1
Horvat
Dowd
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
3
Horvat
Dowd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
52.2% (835)
+6.4%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
60.0% (10)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
44.0% (350)
+1.7%
On even strength, Horvat has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Horvat is 61.6% vs right-shot opponents (482).
Horvat shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Horvat
Dowd
Home
59.2% (684)
51.5% (619)
Away
57.0% (635)
48.1% (576)
By Period
Horvat
Dowd
P1
57.9%
51.7%
P2
55.4%
51.6%
P3
61.5%
47.0%
OT
53.8%
22.2%
Final 5 min
60.9%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 18:09 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:55 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 05:27 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 14:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 11:20 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 15:36 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |