Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Dowd 49.1% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 96.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 62.3%
Neutral zone
Horvat 78.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 79.1%
79.1%
20.9%
Horvat
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Horvat
Dowd
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
0
Horvat
Dowd
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Horvat
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
1
Horvat
Dowd
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (682)
51.7% (644)
+3.6%
Power Play
62.2% (230)
0.0% (2)
+62.2%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (101)
41.6% (221)
+4.9%
On power play, Horvat has a +62.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Horvat is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (413).
Horvat shoots left. Dowd is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Horvat
Dowd
Home
58.2% (469)
48.6% (451)
Away
54.0% (544)
49.5% (416)
By Period
Horvat
Dowd
P1
59.6%
49.1%
P2
53.1%
47.3%
P3
55.5%
51.4%
OT
55.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
59.6%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 19:41 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 01:23 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 15:51 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 12:43 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 06:55 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 1 | 00:24 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:28 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 03:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 09:50 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |