Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 50.4% vs O'Reilly 57.6% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 78.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 83.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 78.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 79.5%
79.5%
20.5%
Horvat
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Horvat
O'Reilly
Last 10: Horvat 1-9 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
6
Horvat
O'Reilly
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Horvat
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Horvat
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (1,163)
57.9% (1,179)
-7.9%
Power Play
60.5% (157)
63.0% (292)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (178)
53.8% (320)
-8.9%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Horvat is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (980).
Horvat shoots left. O'Reilly is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,095).
Home / Away
Horvat
O'Reilly
Home
52.0% (767)
61.3% (884)
Away
48.8% (731)
54.8% (907)
By Period
Horvat
O'Reilly
P1
47.1%
55.5%
P2
49.4%
61.0%
P3
54.3%
56.8%
OT
57.9%
67.7%
Final 5 min
49.3%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
50.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2017 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 12, 2017 | 3 | 08:29 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 12, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 12, 2017 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 12, 2017 | 2 | 18:50 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 12, 2017 | 2 | 15:33 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 12, 2017 | 2 | 13:31 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 12, 2017 | 2 | 07:39 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 12, 2017 | 1 | 14:33 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 19:34 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 05:09 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 2 | 17:40 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 2 | 00:26 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 1 | 09:38 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 1 | 09:24 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |