Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 53.9%). Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 59.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 60.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 54.6%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Horvat
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Horvat
O'Reilly
Last 10: Horvat 2-8 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
10
Horvat
O'Reilly
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
55.0% (1,084)
-1.5%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
56.8% (303)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
40.3% (149)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Horvat is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Horvat shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Horvat
O'Reilly
Home
54.2% (714)
54.8% (759)
Away
53.6% (705)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Horvat
O'Reilly
P1
53.5%
55.3%
P2
56.3%
51.9%
P3
53.5%
54.2%
OT
28.6%
64.7%
Final 5 min
52.3%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 19:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 19:09 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 08:22 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 04:26 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 16:58 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 00:40 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 13:28 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 13:20 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 13:13 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 12:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 05:53 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 15:10 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 12:14 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 09:00 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 02:51 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |