Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Horvat wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 53.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 62.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 50.9%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Horvat
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Horvat
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
4
Horvat
O'Reilly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
2
Horvat
O'Reilly
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
56.2% (983)
+2.4%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
55.5% (254)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
52.0% (102)
-6.3%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Horvat is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Horvat shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Home / Away
Horvat
O'Reilly
Home
59.2% (684)
56.2% (697)
Away
57.0% (635)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Horvat
O'Reilly
P1
57.9%
54.5%
P2
55.4%
55.5%
P3
61.5%
57.1%
OT
53.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 15:29 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 04:33 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 04:20 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 02:38 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |