Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 53.0%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 61.2%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 56.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Horvat
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Horvat
O'Reilly
Last 7: Horvat 2-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
3
Horvat
O'Reilly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Horvat
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
56.1% (690)
-1.4%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
64.6% (96)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
45.9% (109)
+6.2%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Horvat shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Horvat
O'Reilly
Home
59.8% (853)
58.3% (408)
Away
53.8% (832)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Horvat
O'Reilly
P1
55.0%
57.7%
P2
58.3%
54.8%
P3
57.8%
55.2%
OT
44.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
59.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 06:30 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 05:47 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 1 | 14:25 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 1 | 11:00 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 1 | 10:33 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 1 | 05:08 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 1 | 00:20 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |