Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.0% vs 56.8%). Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Horvat wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 56.0%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 56.8%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 54.9%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Horvat
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Horvat
O'Reilly
Last 10: Horvat 8-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
8
2
Horvat
O'Reilly
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Horvat
O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
56.6% (1,064)
-1.0%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
60.4% (260)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
54.0% (261)
-4.8%
On power play, Horvat has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Horvat is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Horvat shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Horvat
O'Reilly
Home
58.8% (724)
54.9% (801)
Away
55.3% (751)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Horvat
O'Reilly
P1
57.0%
58.0%
P2
57.5%
56.7%
P3
57.0%
55.4%
OT
36.4%
64.7%
Final 5 min
56.9%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2022 | 1 | 00:34 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 3 | 16:43 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 3 | 11:02 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 3 | 03:03 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 3 | 01:03 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 3 | 00:49 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 2 | 14:56 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 2 | 11:46 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 2 | 03:39 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 2 | 00:18 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 1 | 19:11 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 1 | 11:12 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 1 | 07:24 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |