Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.3% vs 56.6%). Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.9% vs O'Reilly 56.2% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 17-7 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 52.2%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 53.6%
Neutral zone
Horvat 50.3%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Horvat
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
7
(24 meetings)
17
7
Horvat
O'Reilly
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
8
3
Horvat
O'Reilly
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
1
Horvat
O'Reilly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
3
Horvat
O'Reilly
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,134)
57.3% (1,073)
-1.0%
Power Play
64.3% (263)
58.5% (258)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (85)
50.7% (225)
-1.3%
On power play, Horvat has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Horvat shoots left. O'Reilly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (962).
Home / Away
Horvat
O'Reilly
Home
57.3% (742)
59.2% (765)
Away
57.4% (741)
54.0% (791)
By Period
Horvat
O'Reilly
P1
59.0%
55.6%
P2
59.7%
61.0%
P3
53.6%
52.3%
OT
55.6%
61.3%
Final 5 min
59.3%
58.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2020 | 3 | 19:04 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 3 | 02:20 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 2 | 16:31 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 2 | 09:57 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 1 | 19:03 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 1 | 16:08 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 5, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 16:25 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 08:27 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 05:44 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 05:23 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 02:15 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 03:52 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 17:23 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 13:30 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 07:56 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 17, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 3 | 13:06 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |