Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 61.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Carrick 49.5% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 65.7%
Defensive zone
Carrick 65.1%
Neutral zone
Carrick 57.2%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Horvat
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Horvat
Carrick
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
1
Horvat
Carrick
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
3
Horvat
Carrick
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
48.9% (352)
+6.7%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
81.3% (16)
-15.9%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
42.2% (45)
+7.0%
On power play, Carrick has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Horvat is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (563).
Horvat shoots left. Carrick is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Horvat
Carrick
Home
58.8% (724)
46.9% (192)
Away
55.3% (751)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Horvat
Carrick
P1
57.0%
48.1%
P2
57.5%
50.0%
P3
57.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 16:28 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 2 | 15:06 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 1 | 16:41 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 3 | 04:29 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 2 | 16:13 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 2 | 16:03 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 2 | 15:54 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 2 | 09:22 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 06:14 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |