Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings). Horvat wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Carrick 52.1% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 17-11 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 86.0%
Defensive zone
Carrick 64.5%
Neutral zone
Horvat 53.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Horvat
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
11
(28 meetings)
17
11
Horvat
Carrick
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
11
2
Horvat
Carrick
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
3
7
Horvat
Carrick
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
2
Horvat
Carrick
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,606)
52.1% (2,513)
+1.8%
Power Play
61.0% (2,699)
61.3% (75)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,494)
50.7% (430)
-3.6%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Horvat is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,086).
Horvat shoots left. Carrick is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,179).
Home / Away
Horvat
Carrick
Home
56.0% (8,355)
51.2% (1,441)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Horvat
Carrick
P1
54.1%
51.8%
P2
54.4%
52.2%
P3
55.0%
52.4%
Final 5 min
55.2%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 16:54 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 18:15 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 02:40 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 06:21 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 13:10 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 3 | 19:36 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 2 | 11:51 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 2 | 07:08 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 1 | 04:28 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 12:16 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 07:25 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 14:14 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 11:56 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 07:50 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 05:38 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 02:40 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 16:28 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 2 | 15:06 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |