Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 53.4%). Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Carrick 53.0% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 82.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 78.0%
Neutral zone
Horvat 52.5%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Horvat
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Horvat
Carrick
Last 9: Horvat 6-3 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
1
Horvat
Carrick
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Horvat
Carrick
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
53.9% (521)
-0.4%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
57.1% (35)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
51.5% (229)
-0.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Horvat shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Horvat
Carrick
Home
54.2% (714)
52.7% (408)
Away
53.6% (705)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Horvat
Carrick
P1
53.5%
51.4%
P2
56.3%
56.6%
P3
53.5%
52.1%
Final 5 min
52.3%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 12:16 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 07:25 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 14:14 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 11:56 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 07:50 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 05:38 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 02:40 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |