Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 61.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Carrick 53.7% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 86.7%
Defensive zone
Carrick 70.5%
Neutral zone
Carrick 54.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Horvat
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Horvat
Carrick
Last 8: Horvat 5-3 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
2
Horvat
Carrick
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Carrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
53.8% (654)
+4.8%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
0.0% (2)
+60.6%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
63.9% (36)
-18.2%
On power play, Horvat has a +60.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Horvat is 61.6% vs right-shot opponents (482).
Horvat shoots left. Carrick is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Horvat
Carrick
Home
59.2% (684)
50.0% (328)
Away
57.0% (635)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Horvat
Carrick
P1
57.9%
56.7%
P2
55.4%
51.1%
P3
61.5%
54.8%
Final 5 min
60.9%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 18:15 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 02:40 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 06:21 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 13:10 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 3 | 19:36 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 2 | 11:51 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 2 | 07:08 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 1 | 04:28 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |