Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Monahan 52.8% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 65.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 55.1%
Neutral zone
Monahan 58.4%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Horvat
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Horvat
Monahan
Last 10: Horvat 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
3
Horvat
Monahan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Horvat
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Horvat
Monahan
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
51.5% (641)
+4.1%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
62.8% (129)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
33.3% (9)
+15.9%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Horvat is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Horvat shoots left. Monahan is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Horvat
Monahan
Home
58.8% (724)
53.9% (362)
Away
55.3% (751)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Horvat
Monahan
P1
57.0%
48.0%
P2
57.5%
57.0%
P3
57.0%
54.1%
OT
36.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 01:59 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 04:45 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 16:43 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 03:35 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 09:21 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 17:39 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 17:24 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 14:16 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 14:22 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 07:36 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 05:41 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |