Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Monahan 52.8% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 72.6%
Defensive zone
Horvat 55.7%
Neutral zone
Horvat 57.9%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Horvat
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
3
(14 meetings)
11
3
Horvat
Monahan
Last 10: Horvat 9-1 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
1
Horvat
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
7
1
Horvat
Monahan
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (682)
53.2% (823)
+2.1%
Power Play
62.2% (230)
55.3% (159)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (101)
48.4% (95)
-1.9%
On power play, Horvat has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Horvat shoots left. Monahan is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Home / Away
Horvat
Monahan
Home
58.2% (469)
54.6% (529)
Away
54.0% (544)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Horvat
Monahan
P1
59.6%
49.0%
P2
53.1%
55.4%
P3
55.5%
53.6%
OT
55.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
59.6%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:58 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 04:31 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 09:49 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 08:21 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 08:09 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 14:45 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 02:50 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 17:45 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 17:30 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 10:10 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 10:05 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |