Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Monahan 53.9% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 59.5%
Defensive zone
Horvat 73.3%
Neutral zone
Monahan 51.2%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Horvat
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Horvat
Monahan
Last 5: Horvat 4-1 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Horvat
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
54.5% (231)
+0.2%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
58.2% (67)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
52.2% (23)
-0.1%
On power play, Horvat has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Horvat shoots left. Monahan is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Horvat
Monahan
Home
59.8% (853)
53.5% (144)
Away
53.8% (832)
56.5% (177)
By Period
Horvat
Monahan
P1
55.0%
52.5%
P2
58.3%
50.9%
P3
57.8%
60.8%
OT
44.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2022 | 1 | 09:00 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 1 | 07:49 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 2 | 09:19 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 2 | 06:56 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 1 | 00:43 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |