Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Monahan 54.5% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 67.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 51.0%
Neutral zone
Horvat 56.2%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Horvat
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Horvat
Monahan
Last 8: Horvat 3-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
3
Horvat
Monahan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Horvat
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
57.1% (871)
-3.6%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
53.1% (262)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
44.6% (139)
+6.7%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Horvat is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Horvat shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Horvat
Monahan
Home
54.2% (714)
55.3% (644)
Away
53.6% (705)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Horvat
Monahan
P1
53.5%
53.9%
P2
56.3%
55.3%
P3
53.5%
54.4%
OT
28.6%
76.5%
Final 5 min
52.3%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 11:17 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 15:45 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 14:04 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 10:45 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 07:39 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 15:24 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 15:46 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 14:21 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |