Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Thompson 45.3% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 90.6%
Defensive zone
Horvat 89.9%
Neutral zone
Horvat 86.2%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 88.6%
88.6%
11.4%
Horvat
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Horvat
Thompson
Last 5: Horvat 5-0 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (682)
44.9% (642)
+10.4%
Power Play
62.2% (230)
47.9% (94)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (101)
33.3% (33)
+13.2%
On power play, Horvat has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Horvat is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (413).
Horvat shoots left. Thompson is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Horvat
Thompson
Home
58.2% (469)
46.0% (391)
Away
54.0% (544)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Horvat
Thompson
P1
59.6%
48.1%
P2
53.1%
44.9%
P3
55.5%
41.2%
OT
55.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
59.6%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 01:15 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 15:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 15:48 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 02:45 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |