Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings). Horvat wins 61.6% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Thompson 43.7% (+15.4%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 14-8 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 90.0%
Defensive zone
Horvat 91.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 87.6%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 89.8%
89.8%
10.2%
Horvat
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
8
(22 meetings)
14
8
Horvat
Thompson
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Horvat
Thompson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
7
4
Horvat
Thompson
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
2
Horvat
Thompson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
41.9% (597)
+16.7%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
50.5% (95)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
25.0% (12)
+20.7%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Horvat is 61.6% vs right-shot opponents (482).
Horvat shoots left. Thompson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Horvat
Thompson
Home
59.2% (684)
47.1% (367)
Away
57.0% (635)
38.0% (337)
By Period
Horvat
Thompson
P1
57.9%
44.2%
P2
55.4%
41.6%
P3
61.5%
42.9%
OT
53.8%
25.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 18:41 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 15:49 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 06:21 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 09:51 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 02:07 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 14:47 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 09:18 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 07:23 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 04:14 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 00:50 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 00:42 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 17:22 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 10:05 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 04:01 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 00:20 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 16:29 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 05:55 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |