Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +16.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 61.3% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Thompson 41.2% (+16.7%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 93.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 91.8%
Neutral zone
Horvat 91.4%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 92.1%
92.1%
7.9%
Horvat
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Horvat
Thompson
Last 10: Horvat 8-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
0
Horvat
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
40.6% (801)
+15.0%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
44.7% (103)
+20.7%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
31.0% (71)
+18.2%
On power play, Horvat has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Horvat is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (563).
Horvat shoots left. Thompson is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (724).
Home / Away
Horvat
Thompson
Home
58.8% (724)
43.2% (507)
Away
55.3% (751)
37.2% (468)
By Period
Horvat
Thompson
P1
57.0%
37.7%
P2
57.5%
43.4%
P3
57.0%
39.5%
OT
36.4%
27.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 15:49 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 14:25 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 04:42 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 02:31 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 1 | 07:50 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 00:17 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 08:54 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 00:39 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 00:35 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |