Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Horvat wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Thompson 44.0% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 14-8 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 93.5%
Defensive zone
Horvat 68.0%
Neutral zone
Horvat 88.9%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 85.8%
85.8%
14.2%
Horvat
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
8
(22 meetings)
14
8
Horvat
Thompson
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
7
1
Horvat
Thompson
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
4
Horvat
Thompson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
3
Horvat
Thompson
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
44.6% (709)
+8.9%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
41.5% (53)
+14.8%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
35.1% (97)
+16.2%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Horvat shoots left. Thompson is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Horvat
Thompson
Home
54.2% (714)
45.5% (426)
Away
53.6% (705)
41.1% (433)
By Period
Horvat
Thompson
P1
53.5%
48.5%
P2
56.3%
43.8%
P3
53.5%
38.1%
OT
28.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 18:37 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 09:19 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 10:28 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 10:16 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:12 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 11:16 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 06:43 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 05:20 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 13:55 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 13:40 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 10:37 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 10:32 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 07:27 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 04:00 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 02:34 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:18 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:04 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 02:24 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |