Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Horvat wins 62.2% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Thompson 43.8% (+13.8%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 96.3%
Defensive zone
Horvat 92.8%
Neutral zone
Horvat 79.4%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 85.7%
85.7%
14.3%
Horvat
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Horvat
Thompson
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
2
Horvat
Thompson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
3
Horvat
Thompson
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
43.3% (735)
+11.4%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
50.0% (26)
+17.0%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
36.5% (52)
+15.6%
On power play, Horvat has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Horvat is 62.2% vs right-shot opponents (574).
Horvat shoots left. Thompson is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Horvat
Thompson
Home
59.8% (853)
44.5% (407)
Away
53.8% (832)
41.6% (406)
By Period
Horvat
Thompson
P1
55.0%
44.4%
P2
58.3%
44.8%
P3
57.8%
40.2%
OT
44.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
59.4%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 11:21 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 04:59 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 12:38 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 15:12 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 12:23 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 08:54 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 06:20 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:31 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 14:11 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 14:42 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 03:03 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 00:26 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 00:14 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |