Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Gourde 49.5% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 72.8%
Defensive zone
Horvat 59.5%
Neutral zone
Horvat 54.0%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Horvat
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Horvat
Gourde
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
2
3
Horvat
Gourde
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
1
Horvat
Gourde
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
49.1% (731)
+6.5%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
54.3% (81)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
48.2% (85)
+1.0%
On power play, Horvat has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Horvat is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Horvat shoots left. Gourde is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Home / Away
Horvat
Gourde
Home
58.8% (724)
50.9% (479)
Away
55.3% (751)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Horvat
Gourde
P1
57.0%
51.2%
P2
57.5%
49.8%
P3
57.0%
47.5%
OT
36.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2022 | 3 | 17:50 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 2 | 14:28 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 2 | 04:49 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 12:45 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 02:11 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 18:05 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 13:09 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 17:27 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 17:46 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 17:32 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 15:19 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |