Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 17 meetings). Horvat wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Gourde 48.2% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 28-22 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 82.8%
Defensive zone
Horvat 71.0%
Neutral zone
Horvat 71.5%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Horvat
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
22
(50 meetings)
28
22
Horvat
Gourde
Last 10: Horvat 3-7 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
9
10
Horvat
Gourde
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
12
5
Horvat
Gourde
17 total
Neutral Zone
Even
7
7
Horvat
Gourde
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,606)
48.4% (4,954)
+5.5%
Power Play
61.0% (2,699)
57.4% (376)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,494)
39.9% (554)
+7.2%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Horvat is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,714).
Horvat shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,946).
Home / Away
Horvat
Gourde
Home
56.0% (8,355)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Horvat
Gourde
P1
54.1%
49.9%
P2
54.4%
47.4%
P3
55.0%
47.5%
OT
49.6%
37.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 14:34 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 15:09 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 01:19 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 01:06 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 16:46 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 16:22 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:33 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:16 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 04:39 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 18:15 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 19:51 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 18:17 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 11:21 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 06:30 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 16:51 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 2 | 18:47 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 1 | 18:29 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 1 | 11:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 15:47 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |