Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Gourde 49.7% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 90.4%
Defensive zone
Horvat 77.6%
Neutral zone
Horvat 72.4%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 79.4%
79.4%
20.6%
Horvat
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
6
(18 meetings)
12
6
Horvat
Gourde
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
2
Horvat
Gourde
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
1
Horvat
Gourde
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Horvat
Gourde
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
49.1% (847)
+5.6%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
79.5% (44)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
39.5% (81)
+12.6%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Horvat shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Horvat
Gourde
Home
59.8% (853)
50.1% (491)
Away
53.8% (832)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Horvat
Gourde
P1
55.0%
54.7%
P2
58.3%
45.0%
P3
57.8%
49.4%
OT
44.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2023 | 2 | 18:47 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 1 | 18:29 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 1 | 11:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 15:47 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 19:52 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 12:08 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 09:46 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 05:32 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 10:50 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 10:41 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 07:01 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 04:10 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 03:44 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 01:26 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 01:16 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 15:49 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 14:32 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |