Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Gourde 48.0% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 78.0%
Defensive zone
Gourde 53.8%
Neutral zone
Horvat 62.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Horvat
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Horvat
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
48.0% (914)
+5.5%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
54.2% (48)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
43.9% (123)
+7.4%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Horvat is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Horvat shoots left. Gourde is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Horvat
Gourde
Home
54.2% (714)
50.2% (512)
Away
53.6% (705)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Horvat
Gourde
P1
53.5%
50.0%
P2
56.3%
45.3%
P3
53.5%
48.6%
OT
28.6%
20.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 11:21 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 06:30 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 16:51 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |