Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.1% vs Tavares 57.2% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 80.8%
Defensive zone
Tavares 61.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 81.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 80.9%
19.1%
80.9%
Jenner
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Jenner
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (227)
58.0% (914)
-8.2%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
57.0% (235)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
57.9% (19)
-5.0%
On even strength, Tavares has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Jenner is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (186).
Jenner shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Home / Away
Jenner
Tavares
Home
51.0% (143)
57.8% (614)
Away
49.2% (124)
57.8% (554)
By Period
Jenner
Tavares
P1
51.7%
58.0%
P2
40.5%
56.9%
P3
57.3%
58.4%
Final 5 min
52.1%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.2%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2025 | 2 | 02:08 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 1 | 12:42 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |