Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Tavares 57.7% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 76.0%
Defensive zone
Jenner 61.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 67.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Jenner
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Jenner
Tavares
Last 10: Jenner 5-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
3
Jenner
Tavares
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
0
Jenner
Tavares
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
3
Jenner
Tavares
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
57.5% (914)
-3.3%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
60.5% (309)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
59.1% (22)
-9.4%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Jenner shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Jenner
Tavares
Home
56.7% (693)
61.0% (661)
Away
52.7% (693)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Jenner
Tavares
P1
57.1%
58.6%
P2
54.1%
57.8%
P3
53.0%
58.4%
OT
61.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.9%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 09:25 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 09:03 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 19:20 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 15:28 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 18:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 14:38 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 10:11 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 3 | 07:49 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 2 | 07:22 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 00:14 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |