Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.3% vs Tavares 59.8% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 70.9%
Defensive zone
Jenner 70.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 53.4%
Result
John Tavares favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Jenner
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Jenner
Tavares
Last 10: Jenner 5-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Jenner
Tavares
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
0
Jenner
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Jenner
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (851)
60.9% (1,043)
-6.8%
Power Play
54.0% (202)
60.4% (278)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (145)
47.6% (21)
+2.7%
On even strength, Tavares has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Jenner shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Jenner
Tavares
Home
53.2% (609)
63.5% (684)
Away
54.0% (589)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Jenner
Tavares
P1
49.7%
60.3%
P2
53.6%
60.4%
P3
56.5%
60.1%
OT
65.2%
92.3%
Final 5 min
52.2%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.6%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2022 | 3 | 17:29 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 3 | 12:11 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 3 | 07:50 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 10:54 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 17:26 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 07:29 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 07:21 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 08:16 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 18:25 | Neutral | John Tavares |