Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Tavares 58.7% (-5.0%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 65.2%
Defensive zone
Jenner 69.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 53.8%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Jenner
Tavares
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (775)
59.2% (1,035)
-4.7%
Power Play
59.1% (198)
60.0% (310)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (140)
42.9% (7)
+3.5%
On even strength, Tavares has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Jenner is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Jenner shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Jenner
Tavares
Home
52.9% (512)
57.5% (668)
Away
55.4% (601)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Jenner
Tavares
P1
55.0%
58.0%
P2
54.5%
60.1%
P3
53.6%
61.0%
OT
52.6%
27.8%
Final 5 min
53.5%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.3%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%