Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.8% vs Tavares 57.7% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 66.6%
Defensive zone
Jenner 62.7%
Neutral zone
Jenner 65.9%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 64.3%
64.3%
35.7%
Jenner
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Jenner
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Jenner
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Jenner
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (163)
57.7% (998)
-7.4%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
60.5% (271)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
56.4% (39)
+2.4%
On power play, Tavares has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Jenner is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (89).
Jenner shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Home / Away
Jenner
Tavares
Home
45.7% (81)
59.7% (610)
Away
54.8% (124)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Jenner
Tavares
P1
46.6%
57.2%
P2
58.3%
58.5%
P3
50.0%
59.4%
OT
0.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
43.4%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.2%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 04:21 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | John Tavares |